Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?

Market strongly favors a high of 24°C in Taipei on March 23.

The prediction market indicates a high probability of 98.4% for the temperature reaching 24°C in Taipei. However, the AI model suggests a lower probability of 90.9%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7.5 points. With only 4 hours until expiry, confidence levels are moderate at 60/100.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 AI model shows a significant discrepancy with market odds.
• 3 The NO side is perceived as undervalued based on AI analysis.
• 4 Market confidence is moderate, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 4 hours until market closure.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.