Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 25°C in Taipei on March 20.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 25°C on March 20. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 98.45%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is very low at 0.05%.
• 3 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 1.55%.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is immediate, adding urgency to the market's predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.