Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 25°C in Taipei on March 22.

Current market probabilities indicate a unanimous expectation that the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 25°C on March 22, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slight chance of YES at 1%. With only 4 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against reaching 25°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant shifts.
• 5 Current market pricing reflects a balanced view of temperature expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

This market will resolve to the degree indicated in its title (e.g., if a market's title indicates it will resolve to "Yes" if 21°C is the highest temperature on a given day, all temperatures within the range 21.0-21.9°C [inclusive] will qualify).

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.