Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on March 29?

Market favors temperatures above 25°C in Taipei on March 29.

The prediction market indicates a 72% probability that the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 25°C on March 29. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, suggesting a consensus that temperatures are likely to remain below this threshold. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 23 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong lean towards temperatures not reaching 25°C.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher than the market, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 With a confidence level of 60, the market reflects moderate certainty about the outcome.
• 4 The time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 Market edge of 5 suggests that prices are aligned with expectations based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.