Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?

High probability for Taipei's temperature to be 25°C or below on March 30.

The market shows a strong consensus with an 83.60% probability that Taipei's temperature will be 25°C or below on March 30. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a lower probability of 74.6%. The NO side appears undervalued by 9 points, indicating potential for a shift in sentiment.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors YES at 83.60%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 74.6%.
• 3 The NO side is undervalued, indicating potential market inefficiency.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 2 hours, increasing urgency for market participants.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.