Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 18?

Market strongly predicts Taipei's temperature won't reach 26°C on March 18.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 26°C on March 18. With a confidence score of 65/100 and a time to expiry of 18 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting a consensus against this temperature threshold.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against reaching 26°C.
• 2 Current probability suggests low likelihood of a temperature spike.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 5 Market appears to be efficiently priced with minimal edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.