Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 23?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 26°C in Taipei on March 23.

The prediction market shows a significant preference for a NO outcome regarding Taipei's temperature reaching 26°C, with a probability of 99.65%. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the temperature exceeding this threshold. Given the current confidence level of 60/100 and the time to expiry of just 2 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 3.85%.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 2 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.