Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on March 29?

Low probability for Taipei's temperature reaching 26°C on March 29.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 26°C, with a NO probability of 83.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher YES probability of 23.5%. The edge of 7 suggests that there is insufficient data for a confident assessment of this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are a key factor influencing predictions.
• 3 Historical temperature data for March in Taipei supports lower temperatures.
• 4 Market liquidity appears moderate, affecting confidence levels.
• 5 Time pressure is increasing as the expiry approaches in 44 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.