Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or higher on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 26°C in Taipei on March 28.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood of temperatures not reaching 26°C in Taipei, with a consensus of 99.85% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 2.15%. This suggests a general agreement among participants that warmer temperatures are unlikely on the specified date.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against temperatures reaching 26°C.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for warmer temperatures.
• 3 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.