Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on March 22?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 27°C in Taipei on March 22.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.6% for temperatures not reaching 27°C in Taipei. With only 0.40% probability for the YES outcome and a Pulse AI probability of 1.9%, the consensus indicates that temperatures are unlikely to meet or exceed this threshold. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 27°C.
• 2 High NO probability suggests strong confidence in the forecast.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the NO outcome.
• 4 Liquidity in the market indicates stable betting patterns.
• 5 Time pressure is low with only 3 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

This market will resolve to the degree indicated in its title (e.g., if a market's title indicates it will resolve to "Yes" if 21°C is the highest temperature on a given day, all temperatures within the range 21.0-21.9°C [inclusive] will qualify).

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.