Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Taipei's temperature on March 30.

With a market probability of 99.7% for NO, the consensus indicates a low likelihood of the highest temperature reaching 27°C. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, suggesting a minimal chance of YES at 3.8%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Key factors include historical temperature trends for late March.
• 3 Market liquidity is stable, supporting current pricing.
• 4 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to the forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.