Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on March 26?

High confidence that Taipei's temperature will reach 27°C or higher on March 26.

The prediction market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for Taipei's temperature to be 27°C or higher on March 26, indicating strong consensus among participants. The AI model also supports this with a probability of 95.45%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of -4.5.

• 1 Market shows extreme confidence in a warm forecast for Taipei.
• 2 AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 High confidence score indicates strong belief in the outcome.
• 5 No imminent time pressure noted for this prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.