Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on March 18?

High confidence in Taipei reaching 28°C on March 18.

The market shows a very high probability of 99.95% for Taipei's temperature to reach 28°C on March 18, indicating strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 99% probability, suggesting minimal disagreement. With only 4 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -0.95.

• 1 Market probability indicates overwhelming confidence in the outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing predictions.
• 3 Time pressure of 4 hours may limit significant shifts in probability.
• 4 Edge of -0.95 suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 5 High confidence score of 85/100 reflects strong participant conviction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.