Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on March 29?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 28°C in Taipei on March 29.

The prediction market shows a significant preference for the NO outcome, indicating a low likelihood of the highest temperature reaching 28°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for YES. The edge of 7 suggests there is insufficient data for a confident assessment, and the confidence level is moderate.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors NO at 93.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher YES probability at 13.5%.
• 3 The edge score of 7 indicates uncertainty in the data available.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 50 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 45 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.