Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors a NO for Taipei's temperature reaching 29°C on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.6% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the likelihood of Taipei reaching 29°C on March 29. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low chance for YES at 2.9%. The edge of 2.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced given the current conditions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.6%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability supports a low chance for YES at 2.9%.
• 3 The edge of 2.5 indicates a fair market pricing.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 24 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.