Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 29°C in Taipei on March 22.

With a market probability of 99.9% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 29°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating limited expectations for a temperature increase above this threshold.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 29°C.
• 2 The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced relative to AI predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes in forecasts.
• 5 Current probabilities reflect a stable weather outlook for Taipei.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by Taipei's Central Weather Administration in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Taipei Central Weather Administration, specifically the highest reading under the "Temperature" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.cwa.gov.tw/V8/C/W/OBS_Station.html?ID=46692

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

This market will resolve to the degree indicated in its title (e.g., if a market's title indicates it will resolve to "Yes" if 21°C is the highest temperature on a given day, all temperatures within the range 21.0-21.9°C [inclusive] will qualify).

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.