Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on March 23?

Market strongly predicts Taipei's temperature won't reach 31°C on March 23.

The prediction market shows a very high probability (99.95%) that the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 31°C on March 23. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, indicating a consensus on the expected weather conditions. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge, suggesting stable sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 31°C.
• 2 The high NO probability indicates strong confidence in cooler temperatures.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Taipei supports lower temperature trends.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.