Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors that Taipei's temperature won't reach 34°C on March 30.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.95% for NO, indicating a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 34°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of the event occurring. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors NO with minimal support for YES.
• 2 Market probability suggests a strong consensus against high temperatures.
• 3 Pulse AI probability indicates a slightly higher chance for YES but still low.
• 4 The edge of 2 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 5 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty in the predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.