The market strongly predicts temperatures above 16°C in Tel Aviv on March 17.
With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 16°C or below, the consensus indicates a high likelihood of warmer weather. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, suggesting minimal chance for a cooler outcome. Given the high confidence level and proximity to expiry, the market appears to be accurately priced.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.