Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on March 23?

High likelihood for Tel Aviv's temperature to reach 21°C on March 23.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus with a 96.50% probability that the highest temperature in Tel Aviv will be 21°C on March 23. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 95%, indicating a well-informed market. The edge of -1.5 suggests that the market pricing is fairly accurate.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors a YES outcome.
• 2 The probabilities from the market and AI are closely aligned.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the forecast.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.