The market strongly favors temperatures below 25°C in Tel Aviv on March 17.
Current market probabilities indicate a 97.25% likelihood that the highest temperature in Tel Aviv will not reach 25°C on March 17. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a slightly higher probability for a 'NO' outcome at 95.75%. Given the confidence level of 60/100 and the time to expiry being 0 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.