Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C or below on March 20?

The market predicts Tokyo's temperature will exceed 10°C on March 20.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Tokyo will be above 10°C, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI corroborates this view, indicating a very low chance of temperatures being 10°C or below, suggesting that current weather forecasts support this outcome.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures exceeding 10°C.
• 2 Current sentiment reflects a stable weather forecast.
• 3 Historical data suggests March temperatures in Tokyo are typically higher.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears adequate for current predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is low with only 2 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.