Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 11°C in Tokyo on March 17.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of the highest temperature in Tokyo reaching 11°C on March 17, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI also supports this view, showing a minimal probability of 1% for the YES outcome, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with an edge of 1.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating strong market conviction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 2 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.
• 5 Current edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.