Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 11°C in Tokyo on March 23.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 11°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a very low probability of 1% for YES, suggesting a high confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Market shows unanimous confidence in NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong conviction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the prediction.
• 5 Edge of 1 suggests market pricing is accurate.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.