Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on March 22?

The market predicts Tokyo's temperature will exceed 11°C on March 22.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Tokyo will be above 11°C, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI corroborates this view with a 99% probability for 'NO', indicating high confidence in the forecasted temperatures.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief temperatures will exceed 11°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests strong data backing the prediction.
• 4 Limited time to expiry may increase volatility if new data emerges.
• 5 No liquidity concerns noted, indicating stable market conditions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.