Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 11°C in Tokyo on March 27.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Tokyo will exceed 11°C on March 27. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a minimal chance of temperatures being at or below this threshold.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against temperatures of 11°C or below.
• 2 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 3 No liquidity concerns noted in this prediction market.
• 4 Historical weather patterns in late March typically show warmer temperatures.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty to any last-minute changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.