Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 22?

The market strongly predicts that Tokyo's temperature won't reach 12°C on March 22.

With a market probability of 0% for a 12°C high in Tokyo, the consensus is clear that this temperature will not be met. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability for YES, indicating a strong belief in the NO outcome.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 5 The edge of 1 indicates the market is fairly priced at this time.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.