Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 26?

The market predicts Tokyo's temperature will not reach 12°C on March 26.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the possibility of Tokyo reaching 12°C on March 26, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating a very low chance of the temperature reaching the specified level.

• 1 Market probability firmly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with 99% NO.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is immediate, suggesting limited time for market adjustments.
• 5 Current sentiment reflects a strong belief that 12°C will not be reached.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.