Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C or below on March 30?

The market strongly predicts Tokyo's temperature will exceed 12°C on March 30.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in Tokyo will be above 12°C on March 30. The Pulse AI aligns closely with this view, suggesting a very low chance of temperatures being 12°C or below. With only 6 hours until expiry, confidence in this prediction remains high.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% probability on NO.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong belief in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market's stability.
• 5 Edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced with little room for mispricing.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.