Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 20?

High probability indicates strong belief that Tokyo's temperature will not reach 13°C on March 20.

The market shows a 99.80% probability that the highest temperature in Tokyo will not reach 13°C on March 20, suggesting a consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating strong confidence in the prediction. However, the edge of -0.8 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting limited room for movement in expectations.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI closely matches market sentiment with a 99% prediction.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with little discrepancy.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Only 3 hours remain until the market expires, adding urgency.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.