Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 15?

High probability for Tokyo's temperature to reach 14°C on March 15.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus with a 97.65% probability for the temperature to be 14°C or higher in Tokyo on March 15. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 96.15% probability, indicating a high level of confidence in this forecast. With only 4 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -1.5.

• 1 Market shows strong bullish sentiment on the temperature forecast.
• 2 High liquidity suggests active participation in this prediction.
• 3 Time pressure is significant with only 4 hours remaining.
• 4 Historical weather patterns support the likelihood of reaching 14°C.
• 5 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.