Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 22?

High likelihood for Tokyo's temperature to reach 15°C on March 22.

The market shows a strong probability of 79% for the temperature in Tokyo to hit 15°C on March 22, which aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 76%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of just 6 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -3.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong confidence in reaching 15°C.
• 2 Pulse AI's prediction closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the outcome.
• 4 Time pressure may influence last-minute adjustments in predictions.
• 5 Current market pricing reflects balanced expectations without significant bias.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.