Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 16°C in Tokyo on March 22.

With a market probability of 98.45% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Tokyo will not hit 16°C. The Pulse AI probability slightly deviates, suggesting a 3.05% chance for YES, indicating some uncertainty but overall alignment with the market's stance.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors NO with 98.45% probability.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for YES at 3.05%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 4 hours, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.