Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or higher on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 16°C in Tokyo on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 16°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of exceeding this temperature threshold.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures below 16°C.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES but still low overall.
• 3 High edge indicates the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes in forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.