Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 17°C in Tokyo on March 17.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 17°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating a low likelihood of the temperature meeting or exceeding this threshold.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below 17°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight chance for temperatures to reach 17°C.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 2 hours, adding urgency to the predictions.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.