Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 27?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 17°C in Tokyo on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.65% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Tokyo will not hit 17°C on March 27. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with the market, indicating a well-priced prediction. The confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in this outcome.

• 1 Market heavily favors NO outcome at 99.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight probability for YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level at 65 indicates moderate certainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 3 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Edge of 0.65 suggests the market is fairly priced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.