Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 30?

The market strongly favors that Tokyo's temperature won't reach 17°C on March 30.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Tokyo will not be 17°C on March 30. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, which gives a minimal chance of 1% for the temperature reaching that level. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with high confidence in the outcome.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against reaching 17°C.
• 2 High confidence level indicates stability in predictions.
• 3 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues observed in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.