Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or higher on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 18°C in Tokyo on March 17.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that the highest temperature in Tokyo will be below 18°C on March 17. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures below 18°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight chance for temperatures above 18°C.
• 3 High confidence level suggests market stability in current pricing.
• 4 Edge indicates that the market is fairly priced with minimal discrepancy.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.