Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 19?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Tokyo's temperature on March 19.

With a market probability of 95.6% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 19°C in Tokyo on March 19. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating a low likelihood for the YES outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap between YES and NO suggests low uncertainty.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the NO prediction.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no major fluctuations.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 7 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.