Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 20?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 19°C in Tokyo on March 20.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 19°C in Tokyo on March 20. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome, despite a slight edge suggesting the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures below 19°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level at 65/100 indicates moderate certainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is 0 hours, reflecting immediate relevance.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 suggests market pricing is accurate.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.