Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on March 19?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 21°C in Tokyo on March 19.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.45% for temperatures in Tokyo being below 21°C on March 19. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 97.45%, indicating a consensus on cooler weather expectations. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 13 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 21°C.
• 2 Historical weather patterns in March suggest cooler temperatures.
• 3 Liquidity in the market is stable, reflecting confidence in predictions.
• 4 Time pressure is increasing with only 13 hours until the event.
• 5 Pulse AI indicates a lower probability for higher temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.