Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 5°C or below on March 13?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in Tokyo on March 13.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Tokyo will exceed 5°C on March 13. Both the market and Pulse AI show a consensus against the temperature being 5°C or below, suggesting confidence in warmer forecasts.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% probability for NO.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding potential variability to predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.