Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 6°C on March 13?

The market strongly predicts Tokyo's temperature won't reach 6°C on March 13.

With a market probability of 0% for a 6°C high in Tokyo, the consensus is that this temperature will not be reached. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a strong belief in this outcome. The confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against a 6°C high in Tokyo on March 13.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with 1% for YES.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 No imminent time pressure noted for this prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.