Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 7°C or below on March 25?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 7°C in Tokyo on March 25.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 7°C or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 1% probability for YES, indicating a strong belief in higher temperatures.

• 1 Market shows unanimous confidence in temperatures exceeding 7°C.
• 2 Current sentiment is heavily skewed towards warmer weather.
• 3 Historical data suggests March temperatures in Tokyo are typically higher.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting strong market conviction.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 7 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.