Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C on March 13?

The market predicts the highest temperature in Tokyo will not reach 8°C on March 13.

Current market consensus indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Tokyo will not be 8°C on March 13. The Pulse AI suggests a very low chance of 1% for this outcome, reflecting a strong agreement among participants that temperatures will remain below this threshold.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in the NO outcome at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for NO.
• 3 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced with little room for adjustment.
• 4 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency for any potential changes in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.