Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 8°C in Tokyo on March 21.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Tokyo will exceed 8°C on March 21. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 99% for the same outcome, suggesting a strong consensus among participants regarding warmer temperatures.

• 1 Market shows a clear consensus with 100% NO probability.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating reliability.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 2 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.