Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 10?

High probability for Tokyo's temperature to reach 9°C on March 10.

The market indicates a 99.95% probability that Tokyo's highest temperature will be 9°C on March 10, suggesting strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction at 99%, indicating confidence in the forecast. However, the edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting limited room for movement in the probabilities.

• 1 Market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a YES outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market expectations.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current prediction.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with minimal fluctuations in betting volume.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.