Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?

High probability for Tokyo's temperature reaching 9°C on March 13.

The prediction market indicates an 89.10% chance that Tokyo's highest temperature will be 9°C on March 13, closely aligning with the Pulse AI's estimate of 86.1%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of just 1 hour, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in probabilities.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures reaching 9°C.
• 2 The market probability and AI probability are closely aligned.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time pressure is high with only 1 hour until expiry.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -3.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.