Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C or below on March 18?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 9°C in Tokyo on March 18.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 9°C or below, there is a strong consensus that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability for a YES outcome, indicating minimal expectation for colder weather on that date.

• 1 Market shows a strong belief in temperatures exceeding 9°C.
• 2 Current sentiment aligns with typical March weather patterns in Tokyo.
• 3 Historical data suggests March temperatures are usually above this threshold.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but confidence remains high at 80/100.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.