Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C on March 17?

The market strongly predicts that Toronto's temperature won't reach -10°C on March 17.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that the highest temperature in Toronto will not be -10°C on March 17, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also aligns with this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the YES outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with moderate confidence.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against -10°C being the highest temperature.
• 2 Current sentiment is firmly aligned with a NO outcome.
• 3 Historical weather data suggests temperatures are unlikely to drop that low in March.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.